Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.499883e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065
2025-04-20 1.788844e-05 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077
2025-04-27 1.394817e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000069 0.000089
2025-05-04 1.123330e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000056 0.000075 0.000101
2025-05-11 9.921041e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000085 0.000116
2025-05-18 8.196054e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000042 0.000063 0.000090 0.000127
2025-05-25 6.308941e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000062 0.000092 0.000133
2025-06-01 5.020658e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000038 0.000063 0.000095 0.000140
2025-06-08 4.124241e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000038 0.000064 0.000099 0.000149
2025-06-15 3.395626e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000103 0.000158
2025-06-22 2.714994e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000037 0.000065 0.000106 0.000165
2025-06-29 2.062002e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000035 0.000065 0.000107 0.000170
2025-07-06 1.376456e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000107 0.000174
2025-07-13 9.565284e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000109 0.000181
2025-07-20 7.158039e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000064 0.000114 0.000192
2025-07-27 5.365824e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000031 0.000066 0.000120 0.000204
2025-08-03 4.746868e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000071 0.000129 0.000222
2025-08-10 3.469772e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000072 0.000134 0.000234
2025-08-17 2.047331e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000071 0.000135 0.000238
2025-08-24 1.247197e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000071 0.000137 0.000246
2025-08-31 7.897240e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000072 0.000141 0.000256
2025-09-07 4.786533e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000145 0.000266
2025-09-14 2.453247e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000029 0.000073 0.000148 0.000274